- Jimmy Jean • Randall Bartlett • Royce Mendes • Mirza Shaheryar Baig • Francis Généreux • Laura Gu • Sonny Scarfone
Economic Viewpoint
The US Launches a Trade War
March 4, 2025
After a one-month reprieve, the 25% tariffs on US imports from Mexico and Canada (except 10% on Canadian energy and critical minerals) came into effect this morning at midnight. These tariffs stem from the February 1 executive orders aimed at reducing fentanyl trafficking at the northern and southern borders and illegal immigration from Mexico. The only notable change from the original executive orders was the reinstatement of the exemption for de minimis imports (imports of US$800 or less). Here’s a quick overview:
- A 25% tariff has been added on all US imports of goods from Canada, excluding energy, where a 10% tariff applies. Energy is defined as crude oil, natural gas, liquefied natural gas, refined petroleum products, uranium, coal, biofuels, geothermal energy, hydroelectricity and critical minerals.
- A 25% tariff has been added on all imports of goods from Mexico.
- Regarding China, a 10% tariff was already added on February 4 on all imports of goods from that country. Noting that the Chinese government has not taken adequate measures to mitigate the fentanyl crisis, a new executive order signed on March 3 increased these tariffs to 20%.
- The de minimis tariff and tax exemptions (up to $800 of imports) that were already in effect remain applicable until adequate processing and collection systems are in place.
Contact our economists
NOTE TO READERS: The letters k, M and B are used in texts, graphs and tables to refer to thousands, millions and billions respectively.
IMPORTANT: This document is based on public information and may under no circumstances be used or construed as a commitment by Desjardins Group. While the information provided has been determined on the basis of data obtained from sources that are deemed to be reliable, Desjardins Group in no way warrants that the information is accurate or complete. The document is provided solely for information purposes and does not constitute an offer or solicitation for purchase or sale. Desjardins Group takes no responsibility for the consequences of any decision whatsoever made on the basis of the data contained herein and does not hereby undertake to provide any advice, notably in the area of investment services. Data on prices and margins is provided for information purposes and may be modified at any time based on such factors as market conditions. The past performances and projections expressed herein are no guarantee of future performance. Unless otherwise indicated, the opinions and forecasts contained herein are those of the document’s authors and do not represent the opinions of any other person or the official position of Desjardins Group.